Interest Rates Up To 5.75%

The Bank of England has increased interest rates by another quarter point in July, to 5.75%, the highest level since March 2001.

Only twelve months ago interest rates were down at 4.5%. The last year has seen hundreds of pounds added to mortgage repayments of householders. On an average £200,000 loan, there will be another rise in payments of £33 to add to the £127 since August 2006.

There are also more than a million homeowners with fixed rate deals from two years ago which are around the 4-4.5% level, who will soon have to look for a new mortgage deal and they are going to be faced with rates of over 7.5% on the lender’s standard variable rate (SVR). That could mean crippling increase of £215 per month. Even with a new deal, they are looking at two-year fixed rates of 5.5% and a rise of nearly £100 per month, plus the fees on top.

Many experts think interest rates will go up again. A rate of 6% has been forecast, and Mervyn King was unhappy at the rate being held at 5.5% in June. He warned a higher peak might be needed in the future. That sounded like a threat of 6% to come.

The Bank has been striving to keep inflation and house prices under control, but the signs that they have started to do this since the last rate rise in May, they didn’t come soon enough to head off July’s rise.

Consumer Price Index (CPI), the government’s measure of inflation, reached 3.1% in March and has come down to 2.5% in the most recent figures. Nevertheless, this is still above the government target of 2%, and the MPC may still feel that more action will be needed. Lower gas and electricity prices should help CPI fall again soon. The MPC said: “Although pay pressures remain muted, the margin of spare capacity in businesses appears limited and most indicators of pricing pressure remain elevated. The committee judged that, relative to the 2% target, the balance of risks to the outlook for inflation in the medium term continued to lie to the upside. Against that background, it further judged that an increase in Bank Rate of 0.25 percentage points to 5.75% was necessary to meet the 2% target for CPI inflation in the medium term.”

Higher rates have begun to slow down the housing market. The Halifax, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, has reported that house price inflation has cooled in the last quarter, lower than the first quarter of the year and the last quarter of 2006.

New Prime Minister Gordon Brown and his new Chancellor Alistair Darling will be frustrated by the rate rise, fresh as they are in their new roles. Mr Brown was always very please with the way his prudent monetary policies worked, but he may have to revise his comments if rates hit 6%, the level they were at when Labour came to power in 1997.

The UK has a big debt problem and these are becoming a bigger burden as interest rates continue to rise. PricewaterhouseCoopers suggest that 19% of an average household’s income goes towards paying debts which is a record level and beats that of 1990 when interest rates stood at 15%.

Tom Smith
15th July 2007

Tags: rates, house, england, interest, home, bank, increase