Is a house price crash on its way?
October 16, 2007 by admin
Filed under News, News-Mortgages
According to some experts in the UK there could be a housing market crash around the corner, similar to that seen in the 1990s.
The predictions come from industry professionals at the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. Over the coming year expectation for house prices in the UK have been lowered by the RICS. According to one senior official from the institute the predictions are perfectly ‘legitimate’ and have not been made irresponsibly.
Over the coming year officials from RICS are predicting that there is a 20% chance that house prices will fall by 10% in the London area. In a similar housing market crash in the 1990s, house prices plummeted on average by around 35%. However, despite these predictions from RICS officials there are other industry professionals that disagree and feel that the chances of a housing market crash are very slim.
One industry expert stated that although interest rates have gone up by a total of 1.25% over the past year in
a series of 0.25% rises, there has been no sharp rise in interest rates. This, along with other factors, made the chances of a housing market crash very unlikely, he stated. Banks and building societies in the UK have been reporting a slowdown in the housing market, and independent research has indicated that both consumer interest and agreed sales have been slowing down over the past few months.
If the housing market does crash, as it did a decade ago, many could see the equity levels in their homes plummet, and for those that have recently taken out 100% loan to value mortgages this could leave them in negative equity, which means that they will owe more on their mortgage than the value of their property.
However, for first time buyers who are looking to get onto the property ladder a housing market crash could prove to be the ideal opportunity to increase affordability – recent reports have indicated that many first time buyers are taking a ‘wait and see’ stance rather than rushing into purchasing, amidst rumours that house prices will fall over the coming months.
Tom Smith
16th October 2007
