Homeowners anxiously await MPC’s decision

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee (MPC) is to announce on Thursday whether it will raise, lower or maintain the base rate of interest.

While most analysts have predicted that the interest rate will have to rise another quarter point before this summer, analysts are in disagreement about whether or not April will see a rate rise to 5.5 per cent.

Stephen Smith, director of housing at Legal & General, said: “Borrowers will be waiting to see if they are going to be in the red or the black in the base rate roulette next week.

“Rates are still at a relatively low level compared to 70s and 80s and many people would struggle with today’s debts at yesterday’s prices. Whilst the boom and bust has flattened out since the turn of the Millennium, borrowers are still facing a probable hike in rates in the near future.”

Mr Smith warned that June and August were likely to hit those with mortgages hardest, since they were the most likely months for a base rate rise. He compared them to Park Lane and Mayfair on a Monopoly board as “you just want to get through them without having to pay out more money!”

The Council of Mortgage Lenders predicted that recent interest rate rises would start to have an affect on the value of homes and that while prices would still go up by seven per cent, this would be a marked deceleration compared to previous years.

Fionnuala Earley, Nationwide’s chief economist, also predicted that a rate rise would not curb the rising level of value in the property market, adding: “The UK housing market will remain fairly firm in the short term, partly because of the momentum built up in the market that will take a few months to work through, but also because of supply constraints.”

If an interest rate rise does occur on Thursday, homeowners with a £100,000 mortgage would find themselves £15 worse off per month.

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Housing market may be cooling

There are very early signs that the UK housing market may be slowing down.

That is according to Nationwide Building Society, which says house price growth in January was the lowest it has been for eight months.

According to the firm, prices increased by just 0.3 per cent in January, a significant drop on the 1.2 per cent increase seen in December.

“House prices increased by just 0.3 per cent in January, the smallest monthly rise since May last year, which pulled the annual rate of house price growth back into single digits,” said Fionnuala Earley from Nationwide.

“Prices increased at an annual rate of 9.3 per cent in January, down from 10.5 per cent last month.”

The building society has also predicted that house prices will remain firm despite the recent rise in interest rates and the possibility of further rises in the year ahead.

“2007 started off with a bang as the Bank of England raised interest rates for the third time in six months. Only time will tell how much the surprise decision will affect sentiment in the housing market,” added Ms Earley.

The average price of a house in the UK currently stands at £173,225, down from the £173,746 price in December.

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