Three interest rate cuts predicted for 2008

According to city economists homeowners in the UK will be able to enjoy easier financial management next year with predictions that interest rates will fall two or three times over the course of the year.

Since August 2006 interest rates have risen five times, each time by 0.25%, and this took the base rate from 4.5% to 5.75% in under a year. Since July of this year interest rates have remained stable at 5.75%, despite calls from some agencies for the Bank of England to cut rates.

Economists are now predicting that interest rates could fall back to 5% next year through a series of interest rate cuts. Some economists predict that there may be one interest rate cut by the end of this year and a further one early or mid next year. However, the timing of interest rate cuts will be dependant upon data reflecting continued economic slowdown. GDP growth forecasts have been downgraded for next year, and this is because of factors such as the series of interest rate rises, volatile financial markets, and the current strength of the pound.

One economist stated: ‘Crucially the Bank has validated market expectations that we are going to see two or three interest cuts in 2008.’

Another said: ‘The report is markedly more doveish and indicates that at least two interest rate cuts are likely.’

Any interest rate cuts are likely to be welcomes by homeowners, who have seen their repayment rocket over the past year, with interest rate rises adding hundreds of pounds to the mortgage repayments of some homeowners. There is also set to be financial turmoil for those due to come of cheap fixed rate mortgages deals over the coming months, and an interest rate cut could help to ease the financial impact.

Alan Wright
24th November 2007

Tags: deals, fixed, cheaper, rates, interest, cuts

Borrowers reassured by mortgage advisers

Mortgage advisers in the UK are reassuring borrowers following major concerns over rising interest rates.

Many consumers are panicking over how they will be able to get a mortgage when interest rates are so high, particularly in the light of the recent credit crunch, which has resulted in a number of lenders hiking up interest rates even further, exceeding the Bank of England base rate by a considerable amount in some cases.

The worry over mortgage interest rates is being further fuelled by the fact that there are thousands of homeowners that are due to come out of fixed rate deals over the next couple of months, and they will be hit hard by the higher interest rates and rise in repayments, with many paying hundreds of pounds extra a month if they stick with their lender’s standard variable rate. Many will be looking to remortgage and go into another fixed rate deal in light of the current economic climate, but they are worried that they will not be able to find a competitive fixed rate mortgage deal to switch to.

Many mortgage advisers, however, have been reassuring consumers and have stated that there are still mortgages available at rates of 6% or under. Although this is much higher than the interest rate that many people that took out fixed rate deals in 2005 are currently on, it is still preferable compared to the standard variable rates of 8% and beyond that some lenders are charging.

The Britannia Building Society currently offers a fixed rate deal of 5.49% for a two year period, which one broker at John Charcol recommends. There are also other fixed rate deals that consumers can choosing from state mortgage advisers.

Tom Smith
26th October 2007

Tags: deals, Loans, rate, bank, fixed, interest, offers

Icesave launches new fixed rate accounts for savers

Icesave, which is currently celebrating its first birthday, has announced the launch of a number of fixed rate savings accounts for customers wishing to save between £1000 and £2 million.

These accounts allow customers to choose from one, two, or three year terms, also enabling them to choose between having their interest paid on a monthly basis or an annual basis. By choosing one of these accounts savers can lock in the interest at a fixed rate for the set term, which means that the interest rate on the savings account will not fall even if the base rate set by the Bank of England does.

Experts state that the two and three year fixed rate deals from Icesave are impressive. The three year account enables savers to enjoy interest rates of 6.31% if paid monthly and 6.5% if paid annually. With the two year account savers can enjoy 6.41% if paid monthly and 6.6% if paid annually. The one year account enables savers to enjoy 6.5% if paid monthly and 6.7% if paid annually. However, a number of industry professionals have stated that there are better one year accounts out there, and savers should shop around.

One industry professional stated: ‘The fixed-rate market is not like the variable market where you have a whole load of other factors and restrictions to consider, so the rate itself is key. On that basis, the Icesave two- and three-year accounts are the best at the moment, but you should probably look elsewhere for a one-year rate.’

Another industry official said: ‘In the fixed-rate market, if you are not being offered the best rate then it is so-so. However rates in this market are not good at the moment: they are so close to variable rates, you have to question whether it is worth locking in your money for the given period. The one-year market is very competitive at the moment. Nottingham’s 6.83% offers a good margin over variable rates, so if you are looking for a one-year bond at the moment, that’s the one you should go with.’

Tom Smith
26th October 2007

Tags: accounts, high, earn, fixed, interest, savers

Debt advisers expecting flood of enquiries

According to a recent report debt advisers across the UK are gearing themselves up for a flood of debt related enquiries as thousands of fixed rate mortgage deals come to an end. Many consumers across the UK took out fixed rate deals in 2005 for a two year period, with a low fixed rate of under 4.5% in many cases.
However, since that time interest rates have rocketed, with a series of five interest rate hikes in the space of a year, taking the rate up to 5.75%.

The credit crunch that was sparked in the United States sub-prime sectors has also had global repercussions, and has resulted in some lenders hiking up their mortgage rates even further. This means that the thousands of people that will be coming out of their fixed rate deals will not only face a huge rise in their interest rates and mortgage repayments, but will also find it increasingly difficult to remortgage to a more competitive deal.

Even those that switch to another fixed rate will have to fix at a far higher rate than they did in 2005, which means a huge rise in their monthly repayments.

It is thought that in the coming months around twelve thousand homeowners will see their fixed rate periods come to an end, and will face repayment rises of 40%. This means that many will have to find hundreds of pounds extra each month in order to continue with repayments on their mortgages, and this could send many households into the red, tipping them over the financial edge and leaving them facing repossession.

All homeowners that are due to come out of their fixed rate deals will face these problems, with many lenders having hiked up their standard variable rates to 8% or more. However, sub-prime borrowers will face severe affordability problems, as many sub-prime lenders have increased their rates to beyond 10% according to some experts.

It is thought that both the level of debt enquiries and the level of repossession will increase over the coming months as a result of this situation. The Consumer Credit Counselling Service has announced that it is opening a specialist repossession advice centre to deal with the severity of the situation.

Tom Smith
25th October 2007

Tags: Mortgages, end, introductory, period, Loans

Worries over interest rates from 40% of consumers

According to a recent report around 40% of consumers in the UK are concerned about further rises in interest rates, with many already having been hit hard by rising repayments on their variable rate mortgage.

Interest rates have already risen five times since last August with a rise of 0.25% each time, taking the base rate from 4.5% last August to 5.75%, and reflecting a total rise of 1.25% within the period of a year.

Although inflation has come down to within the government’s target of 2% recently, many consumers fear that the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting will result in yet another interest rate rise, which could make matters even worse for those that are already struggling to keep up with repayments.

The rising interest rates have affected many financial areas, including resulting in an increase in repossessions as the result of many consumers being unable to keep up with repayments on their mortgages. Fixed rate mortgages have been taken up by many consumers to try and combat the problem of rising interest rates, and the Council of Mortgage Lenders stated that a record number of fixed rate mortgages were taken out in June of this year.

The recent survey was carried out by Intelligent Finance. According to the research four out of every ten consumers are very concerned about a further rise in interest rates, as they feel that they are not covered or prepared for yet another rise in repayments. Officials from Intelligent Finance state that consumers must take preventative action to try and ease the pressure of another interest rate rise by tightening the purse strings where necessary, and making every penny count.

One official from Intelligent Finance stated: “With interest rates on the rise and purse strings tightening, it’s important to make every penny work as hard as possible.”

Tom Smith
6th October 2007

Tags: england, interest, increase, fixed, rise, rate

Bank to waive mortgage fees until end of September

One of the UK’s leading high street banks, HSBC, has announced earlier this month that it plans to waiver all mortgage fees for new and existing customers until the end of September.

The bank has already agreed that it will be axing mortgage exit fees, as have many other lenders, following a call for action from UK regulators and campaigners who stated that mortgage exit fees has rocketed for no apparent reason over the past few years.

According to reports the mortgages offered by HSBC will be totally fee free for existing and new customers until the end of September. However, the bank is offering its best rates as mortgage specials, and for these customers will still need to pay arrangement fees. According to some officials, the bank has set rates higher than many of its competitors, and this, along with the arrangement fee charged on the best deals, could mean that customers could still be better off going elsewhere despite the fee free offer.

One official from HSBC stated: ‘With some lenders recently bowing to pressure to scrap their exit fees, HSBC has decided to stay one step ahead by removing all fees on its standard mortgage range until the end of September. This will enhance HSBC’s reputation for providing transparently priced mortgages which offer real long-term value. Sadly some lenders will simply look to rename their exit charge or bump up fees elsewhere, however HSBC customers can rest assured, the rate they see is all they will pay.’

The bank does offer a range of mortgages, but consumers are urged to do some research and compare rates from other lenders, as even if they have to pay a fee with another lender it could still work out cheaper due to the lower rates of interest offered.

Tom Smith
28th September 2007

Tags: cost, Mortgages, exit, hsbc, fees

Don’t rush in to long term fixed rate deal

Gordon Brown’s new cabinet has been pushing the issue of longer term fixed rate mortgages in the light of decreased affordability across the housing sector in the UK, and in response to this a number of lenders have started to offer longer term fixed rate deals, with many fixed for as long as 25 years.

The latest to offer these extended fixed term deals is the Halifax, which is offering a 25 year fixed rate mortgage set at 6.39%. The Nationwide also offered a 25 year fixed rate deal on the same rate following the government’s call for longer fixed terms.

However, consumers are being urged to think very carefully before jumping into a fixed rate deal for such a long period. The Halifax and Nationwide mortgages both charge an arrangement fee of £599 and also penalties for early repayment for the first ten years of the mortgage. Consumers are being urged to ask themselves whether they want to face the tough decision of either sticking with the same mortgage for at least a decade or paying potentially extortionate penalties for attempting to switch lenders by paying off the mortgage early.

Of course there are benefits to these longer term fixed rates, the main one being that borrowers can enjoy stable repayments and interest rates throughout the term of their mortgage without having to worry about the effects of rising interest rates. However, should interest rates fall these borrowers will be stuck with a very high interest rate throughout the term of their mortgage, or at least until they can switch mortgages without being hit by early repayment fees.

One official stated: ‘At first glance the option of a 25 year mortgage might seem attractive. Interest rates are rocketing and the cost of living is increasing, making money tighter than it has been for years. So you might be forgiven for thinking that Halifax is offering you a quarter of a century’s peace of mind. The reality of course is that rates go down as well as up – true, rates were as high as 14% 25 years ago, but they also went as low as 3.5% when the going was good.’

Tom Smith
27th September 2007

Tags: long, interest, bank, rate, england, term, fixed, deals, increase

Mortgage Reality About To Bite

The next three months will see many thousands of homeowners come face to face with reality as their cheap fixed rate deals come to an end.

The deals were taken out in August and September 2005 when the Bank’s base rate had fallen to 4.5%. At that time you could get a two-year fixed rate mortgage with an interest rate as low as 4.24%.

If borrowers do nothing and let their mortgage slip onto the lender’s standard variable rate (SVR) then if they’re on an average £130,000 mortgage they will see their repayments go up by up to £290 a month.

Looking for a new fixed rate deal is not going to make them feel any better as the lowest fixed rates are now at around 5.6% and come with huge arrangement fees attached. Even those, therefore, could add £110 to the repayments from a 4.24% rate.

When you switch providers you will have to pay an exit fee to your previous lender, together with valuation and legal fees concerning your new mortgage. These could easily get near to £1,000 on a £130,000 loan, but this will still work out much cheaper than sliding onto the SVR.

One of the most attractive products due to end soon is Halifax’s two-year fixed deal at 4.29%, which expires on 30 September. There are about 30,000 customers on this deal. If they don’t take any action they will end up on the bank’s SVR of 7.75%. On a £130,000 loan monthly payments will go up from £707 a month to £981 – an increase of £274. Another popular one is Alliance & Leicester’s 4.28%, ending on 31 October. A&L’s SVR is under review, but is likely to go up to 7.89% before then. Repayments will go up from £706 a month to £993 – up £287. A&L also has a rate of 4.24%, ending at the same time. In this case the repayment rise will be £290.

Experts suggest that anyone with a mortgage deal ending in the next few months should start looking around for a new deal now, but should steel themselves in the expectation of paying a lot more than they are now.

There are other good two-year old deals that are ending soon, such as Northern Rock’s 4.69% on 31 August, Cheltenham & Gloucester’s 4.39% on 30 September and Abbey’s 4.59% on 2 November.

Halifax is offering a range of remortgages only to existing customers. One is a two-year fix at 5.89%. Anyone moving onto it from 4.29% will see their repayments rise to £829 a month from £707 on a £130,000 loan, and will still have to pay the £849 arrangement fee.

Britannia has a good looking two-year deal at 5.69%, accompanied by a fee of £999. That’s £813 a month on a £130,000 loan and costs £20,511 over the two years. If an A&L borrower on 4.28% were to switch to the Britannia deal they would save £180 a month and £2,500 over two years rather than stay on the A&L SVR.

Tom Smith
25th September 2007

Tags: variable, Mortgages, standard, offer, fixed

House price growth slows down due to interest rate hikes

According to recent reports there has been a slow down in the growth of house prices in most areas of the UK following further interest rate rises in the first half of the year. Exceptions to the rule are Scotland, Wales, and the West Midlands in England. However, in most regions house price growth has slowed down by around 50%, and it is thought that this is due to lower demand for properties as a result of rising interest rates.

The data comes from the monthly report from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, and this report is the second one in a row that indicates a slow down in the rate of house price growth in most parts of the UK. According to the figures just 10.6% more members from the RICS reported a rise in house price growth rather than a fall last month, and this compared to 22.5% in the previous month.

The report also indicated that the number of enquiries from new buyers had fallen at the fastest pace since February of last year, reflecting the lower demand for properties. According to the RICS the five interest rate rises over the past year – and in particular the last two interest rate rises – have taken their toll when it comes to buyer demand, with many people having to reconsider property purchase because of the higher interest rates and sky high repayments.

One spokesman from RICS stated: ‘House prices have finally started to cool significantly for the first time since the recent mini boom in the housing market got under way in 2006. Interest rates hikes have begun to affect the psychology of the market with potential new buyers starting to think twice before buying a home. The July rate increase may not mark the peak of the current interest rate cycle and earlier rate rises have yet to fully filter through. A softer landing for the housing market is in store as we move into the autumn.’

Tom Smith
31st July 2007

Tags: england, bank, rate, rises, fixed, interest

Government wants longer term fixed rate mortgages to be available

The government, under new prime minister Gordon Brown, has announced that it wants more longer term fixed rate mortgages to be made available in light of the five recent interest rate hikes that have left homeowners struggling to keep up with rising repayments and have made the prospect of purchasing a home even more difficult for first time buyers on a limited budget.

Alistair Darling, the new Chancellor of the Exchequer, has stated that longer term fixed rate mortgages are more important than ever in light of the current state of the economy, as these will enable property purchasers and homeowners to benefit from stable repayments that will make financial management easier and reduced the risk of crippling repayments stemming from further interest rate rises.

Earlier in the week Alistair Darling stated: ‘When you look around the rest of Europe, it is more common to have longer-term fixed rates. We need to look at that. We need to reduce the volatility.’ He also spoke of the profits that some brokers and lenders are making by offering shorter time fixed rates that have to be renewed every few years, netting them thousands of pounds in profit: ‘Brokers want you to come back every two years, rather than every ten or 20. The Financial Services Authority has identified this as a problem.’

In light of the announcement made by government officials the Nationwide Building Society has just announced the launch of a 25 year fixed rate mortgage. However, there are concerns over how many people will want to take on a fixed rate over such a long period in case interest rates start to fall.

Tom Smith
31st July 2007

Tags: Mortgages, interest, buyers, rises, young, Loans, fixed, first

Chancellor Darling Would Like Longer Fixed Rates

New Chancellor of the Exchequer, Alistair Darling, has indicated that he would like to see longer terms for fixed rate mortgages in the UK.

Darling would like to see more fixed rates lasting up to 25 years and on Monday 9 July he pledged a shake-up of the housing market following concerns that have been expressed regarding lenders only offering short term fixed rates in order to maximise their profits.

If homeowners have to renew their fixed rate deals more often, they will be liable for thousands of pounds worth of charges in arrangement fees, which have rocketed in the last couple of years. As interest rates have risen five times in the last twelve months, consumers are looking to fix their interest rates so they know what their payments will be for a reasonable period of time, but the number of deals beyond two years are few and far between.

The Chancellor said that longer-term fixed rates were available around Europe and would be useful in the UK to reduce volatility. He was unhappy with the incentives built in to products that meant mortgage brokers were more likely to advise homeowners to choose short-term products – and the associated high arrangement fees – some now nearly £2,000.

Mr Darling said that the Financial Services Authority have noted the problem of brokers wanting homeowners to return to them every two or three years rather than every ten or twenty.

The Chancellor also talked about the possibility of building on greenbelt land in the future as the lack of affordable housing in the South East in the last five years was now becoming a problem for the whole country. Last year’s Government target of 223,000 new houses was not met with only 160,000 being built. Mr Darling agreed that planning is a sensitive issue, but whilst determined to protect Britain’s heritage he said that if we don’t increase the supply of houses the problem will get worse and worse and worse. There was no way he would accept that housebuilding should stop.
   
Ex-Chancellor Gordon Brown, now Prime Minister, oversaw house prices that trebled between 1997 and 2007, and promised to end the boom and bust cycle in house prices, but as it is evident that we are coming to the end of a boom cycle in house prices, both Brown and Darling will be hoping that we don’t enter a bust period of falling or crashing house prices. However, with interest rates having risen from 4.5% last August to 5.75% last week the increased payments to be found by most homeowners will bring about a slowdown in the market.

Malcolm Harris, CEO of Bovis Homes, yesterday warned that any further rate rises could bring the housing market to a grinding halt. Average mortgage payments are now at a record level when compared with how much people earn.

Mr Darling acknowledged that housing is a huge issue and concerns more than the buyers, with parents and grandparents keen for their children to be able to afford housing, but a monthly repayment on a £125,000 mortgage s now £130 higher than it was last year.

Tom Smith
16th July 2007

Tags: house, afford, bust, boom, Mortgages

Variable rate borrowers could be heading for a fall

Industry professionals are warning consumers that they could be heading for a fall if they have high levels of variable rate debts, from mortgages and secured loans to credit cards.

With four interest rate rises over the past year the Bank of England base rate has gone from 4.5 percent to 5.5 percent between last August and this May, and further interest rate rises have been predicted by experts before the year is out.

Many borrowers with variable rate loans and cards have seen their interest rates rise, and for many this has resulted in real financial difficulties when it comes to making repayments. Many consumers seem to have been banking on interest rates remaining stable in order to comfortably afford repayments on their borrowing, and the four interest rate rises since last August have really taken their toll.

The Governor of the Bank of England stated: ‘Anyone who borrows at a variable rate should recognise that the interest rate they will pay in the future may vary. It is unwise to borrow so much that the repayments are affordable only if interest rates remain at their initial levels.’

To many, this is something of a warning that further interest rates are indeed on the way, and those planning to take on more debt should be very careful as they may not be able to afford repayments should the interest rates continue to rise.

One economist stated: ‘Rates are going to go higher. A base rate of 6% is not necessarily the top. Borrowers should brace themselves for another increase. I would be surprised if base rate hit 7%, but not if it reached 6.5%.’

An official from the London School of Economics stated: ‘Base rate will peak towards the end of the year at or close to 6%. As long as inflation is under control, it could come down in a couple of years.’

Tom Smith
7th July 2007

Tags: borrowers, england, fixed, rates, cost, borrow, interest

Mortgage bills set to soar for former fixed rate customers

Recent reports indicate that a million mortgage payers in the UK could soon see their mortgage repayments shoot up by over thirty percent in some cases, as their fixed rate deal comes to its end.

It is thought that consumers that took out a fixed rate deal several years ago for two or three years are going to have a shock, as their mortgage repayments soar to hundreds of pounds more per month as a result of the four interest rate rises enforced by the Bank of England over the past year.

Many consumers took out low rate fixed rate mortgages a few years ago, but these are now set to come to the end of their term, which means that those mortgage holders now have to face the financial pinch of all four interest rate rises in one fell swoop.

Although consumers could switch to another fixed rate deal once their previous one expires, it will be at a much higher rate than their previous one, which means that they will still have to pay out a small fortune each month in additional repayments.

Some industry professionals feel that the million or so people that are set to see their repayments soar over the next year may find it a real struggle to cope because of the amount by which their repayments will rise. It is likely that these customer took out a fixed rate at around 4.5 percent a couple of years ago, and the most favourable rates on fixed rate mortgages now are around 5.5 percent. And with interest rates set to rise again in the coming months this could rise yet again.

One banking analyst stated: ‘For some customers we see a 25-30% increase in interest payments.’

He also stated that those people that had to struggle with repayments in order to get onto the property ladder may now find that repayments are totally unmanageable because of the number of interest rate rises that have been applied since they took out their initial loan.

Tom Smith
19th June 2007

Tags: increase, end, Mortgages, rate, Loans, standard, incentive

Savers could benefit from another interest rate rise

Over the past year the UK has seen interest rates rise three times, shooting up from 4.5% in August last year to 5.25% by January of this year.

And with experts predicting that another rise of at least 0.25% will be enforced in May, and possible a further rise in the summer, borrowers on variable interest rates are dreading dealing with their finances, as this means that repayments will go up yet again. However, for some savers the story is quite different.

According to information from Moneyfacts interest rates on fixed rate savings accounts have been climbing, and another interest rate rise could spell good news for savers. According to one expert from Moneyfacts a number of banks and building societies have been raising fixed rate interest rates by up to 0.55%. This has created stiff competition between those offering these savings accounts, and at present the Nottingham Building Society offers the highest rate at 6.2%.

According to Moneyfacts’ Rachel Thrussell: “While rates in excess of six percent are currently very competitive, instant access rates are not far short of this mark, making the reward for tying up your money relatively low. So while these rates will offer a great return and piece of mind, perhaps the market has not yet reached its peak and better rates may still be yet to come.”

In a related report from Sainsbury’s Bank, some experts were concerned that savers were being short-changed in terms on interest on their savings, with many account failing to keep up with inflation and interest rate rises. Consumers that are saving in a low interest account are urged to shop around and look for an account that offers a higher rate of interest, as this could really bump up the amount if interest earned each year.

Tom Smith
28th May 2007

More Information:

• Savings Accounts – Are They Worth It?
• Internet Bank Accounts – The Benefits and Drawbacks

Tags: tax, rate, interest, savings, society, accounts, amount, earn