No change in UK interest rates

Following the August Monetary Policy Committee Meeting the Bank of England has announced that the base interest rate is once again to remain on hold at its lowest level in the history of the Bank of England. The base rate has been at its all time low of just 0.5 percent for well over two years now, which has provided relief for many homeowners and borrowers who have seen their monthly repayments plummet.

Economists have now predicted that the base rate will remain at this record low for the remainder of this year, with some even going as far as to say that it could remain at 0.5 percent next year as well. In a poll that included 32 economists the majority believed that it would be next year before the base rate was increased and a handful said that it could be 2013 before rates increased.

The news that the base rate is to remain on hold comes as no surprise to most industry experts, as the MPC is reacting to the fragile economy by keeping the base rate low. There will be many people that welcome the decision to keep rates low, such as those with mortgages on variable rates. However, there are also some groups that want to see rates increased in order to try and bring inflation levels down.

One group said that rather than increasing the base rate the MPC could look at further increasing the quantitative easing scheme, as this would increase the amount of money available to companies.

David Kern, chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce, said: “Every effort must be made to sustain the recovery. If the economy weakens further, the MPC should not hesitate to increase the QE programme.”

Tags: bank of england, scheme, interest, rates, time, inflation, history, chief economist

Consumers should seize opportunity to overpay their mortgages

Industry officials are urging consumers to seize the opportunity to overpay on their mortgages whilst the base rate remains at its all time low of just 0.5 percent. This is the lowest level the base rate has ever been in the history of the Bank of England, which spans over three centuries, and has been at this level for nearly two years.

However, there are now fears that the base will have to increase at some point in the near future, which will result in repayment for those with variable rate mortgages increased again. Over the past two years these homeowners have seen their monthly repayments plummet, leaving them with more disposable income each month and reducing the risk of repossession for non-payment of mortgage.

However, by overpaying their mortgages whilst they have spare money consumers can significantly reduce the term of the mortgage loan as well as the amount that they end up paying in interest. Officials are now telling consumers to consider making these overpayments whilst they still can before the interest rate increases again. Many homeowners have already been making overpayments since the base interest rate fell, and officials have said that the low interest rates combined with the uncertain future facing many people means that it would be sensible to overpay on the mortgage at this stage.

One official said: “Whilst homeowners may be enjoying the chance to spend some extra money from the savings that they are making on repayments the money would be far better spend on paying off as much of their mortgage debt as possible. Those that have been making overpayment since the base rate fell will save a fortune on the interest that they pay and will find that the mortgage is paid off much, much earlier than had been originally planned.”

Tags: centuries, spare money, risk, bank, mortgage debt, sensible

Lower interest rates sparks interest in property market

According to a recent report the dramatic drop in interest rates that has taken place over recent months has resulted in renewed interest in the housing market from would be buyers. Read more

Tags: low interest rates, year, housing market, rates, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, property market, time buyers

UK interest rates make history

Over the past week the interest rate in the UK has made history by falling to an all time low of just 1.5 percent, which is its lowest since the Bank of England was founded over three hundred years ago. Read more

Tags: Monetary Policy Committee, interest rate, percent mark, monetary, level, interest rates

Will homeowners see any benefit from the rate cuts?

After a series of interest rate hikes between August 2006 and July 2007, which left many homeowners struggling to keep up with mortgage repayments because of the higher interest rates from banks, many were relieved to see interest rates plummet over recent months. In October of this year the Bank of England reduced the base rate from 5 percent top 4.5 percent, and a month later the central bank wiped another 1.5 percent off the base rate, taking it to just 3 percent. In December yet another 1 percent came off, which took the base rate to a fifty seven year low of just 2 percent. Read more

Tags: great news, market, rates, mortgage rates, Savings and loan association, chancellor of the exchequer, property market, base rate

Economists give views on where interest rates will go next

There was a sigh of relief across the UK earlier this week when the Bank of England announced that interest rates had been cut by 0.25% from 5.75% to 5.5%.

There are now mixed predictions with regards to what will happen with the interest rate next, with some predicting that 2008 will see another one or two interest rate cuts and others believing that the interest rate could fall as low as 4% in 2008. Financial experts from This is Money interviewed some economists to get their views.

An official from Investec stated: ‘Evidently the MPC is taking much more note of recent signs of a slowdown in the economy and its fears over the possible effects of the credit squeeze have begun to crystallize. The question obviously now is whether rates come down again and if so how quickly. The outlook is very uncertain. We are pencilling two further 25 basis-point cuts over the first half of next year.’

Roger Bootle from Deloitte and Touche stated: ‘Today’s decision by the MPC to cut interest rates from 5.75% to 5.5% is the first step in a prolonged period of monetary easing that could see rates fall very sharply. I previously thought that rates would drop to 5%, but I now think that they could eventually be cut all the way to 4%. Inflation is likely to rise further in the coming months. However, the rise in interbank interest rates means that the risk of a very sharp and prolonged economic downturn is growing by the day.’

A spokesman from Bear Stearns said: ‘We expect another cut in January, with rates to target 5% by the second quarter. UK rates should be at 4.5% by the end of 2008, possibly even lower if the downturn is more severe. This has been a cut to alleviate the credit crunch and provide a rescue remedy for growth. Lower rates should help to put a prop under the UK housing market.’

Tom Smith
10t December 2007

Tags: credit, bank, interest, rates, propert, housing, uk, crunch, england

Many savers being fooled by Internet savings accounts

According to a recent report from This is Money, many savers across the UK are being tricked into parting with their hard earned cash by seemingly tempting high interest Internet savings accounts that look far better than they actually are.

A number of Internet savings accounts, some from big name banks such as Alliance and Leicester or the Abbey, are offering eye-catching interest rates that have got consumers flocking to open up an account. However, experts state that there is a massive sting in the tail.

What many consumers are failing to realize is that many of these accounts will only pay this rate of interest in the event that the money in the account remains untouched, and just one withdrawal from the account could seriously impact on the amount of interest that you receive. For those that do make withdrawals the interest rate is docked to the point where it falls behind many of the best buy savings accounts on offer at present.

The highest paying of these seemingly high interest savings accounts is Coventry Online, but industry officials state that even if you did open an account and did not make any withdrawals you would only receive 80 pence more for each £1000 of savings than you would with the ICICI Bank’s HiSave Account, which is currently Money Mail’s best buy savings account.

Consumers that are hunting around for a place to put their savings are urged to ensure that they read the small print with these Internet savings accounts, and do not jump in feet first based just on the eye-catching interest rates that are advertised, as the amount of interest that is received may not be close the interest rate advertised.

Tom Smith
5th December 2007

Tags: deposits, savings, high, earn, introductory, interest

Three interest rate cuts predicted for 2008

According to city economists homeowners in the UK will be able to enjoy easier financial management next year with predictions that interest rates will fall two or three times over the course of the year.

Since August 2006 interest rates have risen five times, each time by 0.25%, and this took the base rate from 4.5% to 5.75% in under a year. Since July of this year interest rates have remained stable at 5.75%, despite calls from some agencies for the Bank of England to cut rates.

Economists are now predicting that interest rates could fall back to 5% next year through a series of interest rate cuts. Some economists predict that there may be one interest rate cut by the end of this year and a further one early or mid next year. However, the timing of interest rate cuts will be dependant upon data reflecting continued economic slowdown. GDP growth forecasts have been downgraded for next year, and this is because of factors such as the series of interest rate rises, volatile financial markets, and the current strength of the pound.

One economist stated: ‘Crucially the Bank has validated market expectations that we are going to see two or three interest cuts in 2008.’

Another said: ‘The report is markedly more doveish and indicates that at least two interest rate cuts are likely.’

Any interest rate cuts are likely to be welcomes by homeowners, who have seen their repayment rocket over the past year, with interest rate rises adding hundreds of pounds to the mortgage repayments of some homeowners. There is also set to be financial turmoil for those due to come of cheap fixed rate mortgages deals over the coming months, and an interest rate cut could help to ease the financial impact.

Alan Wright
24th November 2007

Tags: rate, Mortgages, deals, cheaper, property, interest

Halifax house price data contradicts Nationwide data

Recently Nationwide released data that showed house prices in the UK had picked up during the month of October, following an unexpected tumble of 0.6% during the month of September.

The news of rising house prices came as a surprise for many, particularly given industry predictions that house prices would continue to fall over the last quarter and into 2008. However, the Halifax has now released data that contradicts the information provided in the Nationwide report.

According to the Halifax house prices actually fell during the month of October, taking another tumble of 0.5% and bringing the annual rate of inflation to 8.9% for October from 10.7% in September. According to the Halifax report the average house price in the UK is now just over £197,000. If house prices have fallen for the second consecutive month this is the first time since April and May 2005 where there will have been two house price drops in a row.

In the three months to October house prices were 0.3% higher than the same time last year according to reports. The Halifax stated that its figures reflect the steady ‘downward trend’ that many analysts and industry experts have been predicting would take place over the final months of the year.

The Chief Economist at Halifax stated: “The rise in interest rates since August last year and negative real earnings growth so far this year are curbing housing demand, leading to a slowdown in both price growth and activity.”

He added that the data signifies a cooling market but not a crash. “The UK economy is in a strong position. Sound market fundamentals, including high levels of employment and a shortage in the number of properties available for sale, will continue to support house prices.”

Tom Smith
15th November 2007

Tags: homes, bank, interest, cost, houses, rates, rise

Fewer analysts predict a cut in interest rates in November

Following the last Monetary Policy Committee meeting in October, 14 out of 52 economists that were polled by Reuters expected interest rates to fall in November.

However, according to the latest poll the number of analysts that are predicting a fall in interest rates has now fallen, with just 5 out of 60 analysts polled expecting the Bank of England to cut interest rates by a quarter point. It is thought that healthy economic growth could have something to do with the change in the level of predictions in terms of whether interest rates will fall.

Out of the 60 analysts and economists that were polled by Reuters at the end of October 55 predicted that after the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting on November 8th interest rates will remain on hold at 5.75%. Rates have gone up five times between August 2006 and July 2007, each time by 0.25%, which took the rate from 4.5% to 5.75%. However, since July of this year interest rates have remained stable at 5.75%, which is thought to be partly due to the possible effects of the credit crunch.

The poll also showed that 47 out of 59 economists that were polled expected interest rates to fall by at least a quarter point by the first quarter of 2008. Many had predicted that this interest rate would come in November’s meeting. However, these predictions fell after it was revealed that the British economy grew at its fastest rate in three years in the third quarter of this year.

One industry professional stated: “We would expect them to continue to bide their time and allow more data to come in on the extent of any economic slowdown before changing rates. With the UK economy as a whole apparently still growing slightly above trend in Q3, there is certainly no immediate need for such a cut.”  

Tom Smith

Tags: Mortgages, bank, cuts, interest, rates, november, england

Credit cards hit by widespread rate increases

Over 120 increases in rates and fees have hit the UK’s credit cardmarket.

According to Moneyfacts.co.uk, in the past two months, cards have felt the indirect impact of the sub-prime mortgage crisis that has led to a global credit squeeze and resulted in rising charges.

The website’s research has found that cash withdrawal fees have increased on 69 cards, 25 now have higher rates on cash withdrawals and foreign usage charges have spiralled on 18 cards.

Esther James, credit card analyst at the website, said: “Following a year of rising rates and fees, its time to take a look at your card. Check the interest rate you are paying, as there are still some great 0 per cent deals on purchases and balance transfers to be found.

“So don’t pay interest unnecessarily. Make sure you look after your own pocket instead of fuelling the profits of the card providers.”

She added that there is enough choice for consumers not to be caught out, with 300 credit card providers on the market.

Tags: apr, credit, cards, increase, rates

Predictions of further interest rate rises fall

Earlier this year, following July’s 0.25% interest rate rise in the UK, many economists and analysts in the UK predicted that there would be another interest rate rise before the end of the year.

Interest rates have gone up five times since August of last year, with the series of 0.25% interest rate rises taking the base rate from 4.5% to 5.75%. Another 0.25% rise, as predicted by these industry experts, would have taken the base rate to 6% – it is already at its highest in over six years.

However, many industry experts appear to have changed their minds in light of the current turmoil that is hitting the mortgage markets, and following the credit crunch that is having global repercussions the number of analysts predicting a further interest rate rise has fallen. According to reports only one fifth of economists and analysts now believe that the interest rates will rise again this year.

The drop in the number of experts predicting another rise is in part the result of a recent statement that was released by the Monetary Policy Committee following its last meeting early in September, where it was decided that interest rates would remain on hold. The MPC claimed in its statement that its two main reasons for leaving interest rates on hold were that CPI inflation was now within government targets, and also because of the effect that the credit crunch could have upon the industry.

Howard Archer, an economist at Global Insight, stated: “We now no longer expect interest rates to rise to 6 percent in the fourth quarter, but instead anticipate that the Bank of England will sit tight for an extended period. We suspect that growth will lose momentum over the coming months, and that underlying inflationary pressures will gradually abate. This will become even more likely the longer that the current financial market turmoil continues.”

Tom Smith
16th October 2007

Tags: committee, england, interest, bank, monetary

Is a house price crash on its way?

According to some experts in the UK there could be a housing market crash around the corner, similar to that seen in the 1990s.

The predictions come from industry professionals at the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. Over the coming year expectation for house prices in the UK have been lowered by the RICS. According to one senior official from the institute the predictions are perfectly ‘legitimate’ and have not been made irresponsibly.

Over the coming year officials from RICS are predicting that there is a 20% chance that house prices will fall by 10% in the London area. In a similar housing market crash in the 1990s, house prices plummeted on average by around 35%. However, despite these predictions from RICS officials there are other industry professionals that disagree and feel that the chances of a housing market crash are very slim.

One industry expert stated that although interest rates have gone up by a total of 1.25% over the past year in
a series of 0.25% rises, there has been no sharp rise in interest rates. This, along with other factors, made the chances of a housing market crash very unlikely, he stated. Banks and building societies in the UK have been reporting a slowdown in the housing market, and independent research has indicated that both consumer interest and agreed sales have been slowing down over the past few months.

If the housing market does crash, as it did a decade ago, many could see the equity levels in their homes plummet, and for those that have recently taken out 100% loan to value mortgages this could leave them in negative equity, which means that they will owe more on their mortgage than the value of their property.

However, for first time buyers who are looking to get onto the property ladder a housing market crash could prove to be the ideal opportunity to increase affordability – recent reports have indicated that many first time buyers are taking a ‘wait and see’ stance rather than rushing into purchasing, amidst rumours that house prices will fall over the coming months.

Tom Smith
16th October 2007

Tags: Mortgages, price, fall, rates, crash, interest, house, cost

Many first time buyers taking a ‘wait and see’ stance

Over the past couple of years things have been extremely difficult for first time buyers in the UK.

Firstly there were problems being able to raise the money needed to purchase a property, with house prices soaring in the UK requiring buyers to obtain larger mortgages.

For first time buyers there is not equity from a previous property to rely on, which means that they have to take out a loan for all or the majority of the value of the property they wish to purchase. In order to address this problem many lenders have started offering increased income multiples and longer repayment periods on mortgages for first time buyers.

However, there is now a fresh problem for first time buyers to consider. Rising interest rates mean that in addition to having to take out a huge mortgage in order to buy a property these buyers also have to deal with huge repayments because of the increased interest rates, which have shot up by 1.25% in the past year.

Even those starting out on fixed rate mortgages have to put up with a high fixed rate, and will therefore be stuck with this high rate for a fixed period even if interest rates start to fall again in the near future.

Rumours of house prices falling towards the end of the year, combined with predictions of further interest rate rises, has now seen many first time buyers take a step back, with many deciding to rent and wait it out to see what happens before rushing to get onto the property ladder in the current economic climate.

One first time buyer stated: “I am desperate to get onto the property ladder, because I feel that the chances of ever getting my own place are getting slimmer and slimmer. But with all of these rumours about decreasing house prices and rising interest rates I want to see what happens before I make any long term commitment.”

Tom Smith
6th October 2007

Tags: bank, Mortgages, wait, england, time, rates, increase

Inflation Report Signals Further Rate Rise

The Bank of England has given clear signals that interest rates may have to rise yet again to make sure that it keeps inflation under control. Homeowners will be dreading the possibility of yet another rate rise as they have seen five quarter point rises already ion the past 12 months.

Experts now believe that the rise will come sooner rather than later after the Governor of the Bank, Mervyn King, said that he believed the turmoil in credit markets – set off by the sub-prime crisis in the US – was far from being an international financial crisis. Given that comment, experts think that he will not be afraid of recommending a further rate rise in the UK in the near future. Indeed, there are some doom-mongers who suggest that an interest rate of 6.5% – or even higher – could be reached.

A quarter point rise on a mortgage of £110,000 would mean an increase in monthly repayments of over £16, and on a mortgage of £200,000 the increase would be £30 a month.

A further quarter point rise now looks likely in September. Mr King said: “[We] cannot be sure if what we’re seeing so far foreshadows a more disruptive move on the markets or whether there’s a more gradual easing of pressure that allows credit spreads to widen to more sensible levels. So it’s impossible at this stage to judge how large and how persistent the tightening of credit conditions is likely to be.”

Adding that he did not see the recent events, which have seen some US investment banks in trouble because of defaults on loans and some big takeovers postponed, as an international financial crisis, he went on: “We are seeing signs of bad loans arising clearly in the US, but I don’t think we are seeing signs of these bad loans in other markets. The developments in [the widening of] spreads is a more realistic pricing of risks which we welcome.”

Mr King said that it was not the duty of central banks to give protection to any financial institutions if they get in trouble for poor lending practices.

The Bank’s quarterly inflation report said that inflation would come back down to 2% if interest rates rose according to market expectations, and that would be one more quarter point rise before the end of the year. It is difficult to see the Monetary Policy Committee waiting too long before implementing the rise. The report said that risks to inflation remained on the upside but not as much as a few months ago. It now expects economic growth to dip to 2.5% in the next two years from about 3% now.

Mr King was concerned that official figures did not accurately measure the strength of the economy, and may be revised upwards. The near term outlook for inflation had the bad news of higher food prices from flooding influencing it.

Inflation was also under threat from rising oil prices and potentially increasing wages demands, but Mr King did note that consumer spending was cooling. However, there has been surprise at the resilience of consumer and housing markets despite the five rises since last August.

Mr King insisted that 6% was not yet a done deal.

Tom Smith
1st October 2007

Tags: housing, costs, inflation, interest, Loans, economy, spending, markets, rates, increase

Mortgage Reality About To Bite

The next three months will see many thousands of homeowners come face to face with reality as their cheap fixed rate deals come to an end.

The deals were taken out in August and September 2005 when the Bank’s base rate had fallen to 4.5%. At that time you could get a two-year fixed rate mortgage with an interest rate as low as 4.24%.

If borrowers do nothing and let their mortgage slip onto the lender’s standard variable rate (SVR) then if they’re on an average £130,000 mortgage they will see their repayments go up by up to £290 a month.

Looking for a new fixed rate deal is not going to make them feel any better as the lowest fixed rates are now at around 5.6% and come with huge arrangement fees attached. Even those, therefore, could add £110 to the repayments from a 4.24% rate.

When you switch providers you will have to pay an exit fee to your previous lender, together with valuation and legal fees concerning your new mortgage. These could easily get near to £1,000 on a £130,000 loan, but this will still work out much cheaper than sliding onto the SVR.

One of the most attractive products due to end soon is Halifax’s two-year fixed deal at 4.29%, which expires on 30 September. There are about 30,000 customers on this deal. If they don’t take any action they will end up on the bank’s SVR of 7.75%. On a £130,000 loan monthly payments will go up from £707 a month to £981 – an increase of £274. Another popular one is Alliance & Leicester’s 4.28%, ending on 31 October. A&L’s SVR is under review, but is likely to go up to 7.89% before then. Repayments will go up from £706 a month to £993 – up £287. A&L also has a rate of 4.24%, ending at the same time. In this case the repayment rise will be £290.

Experts suggest that anyone with a mortgage deal ending in the next few months should start looking around for a new deal now, but should steel themselves in the expectation of paying a lot more than they are now.

There are other good two-year old deals that are ending soon, such as Northern Rock’s 4.69% on 31 August, Cheltenham & Gloucester’s 4.39% on 30 September and Abbey’s 4.59% on 2 November.

Halifax is offering a range of remortgages only to existing customers. One is a two-year fix at 5.89%. Anyone moving onto it from 4.29% will see their repayments rise to £829 a month from £707 on a £130,000 loan, and will still have to pay the £849 arrangement fee.

Britannia has a good looking two-year deal at 5.69%, accompanied by a fee of £999. That’s £813 a month on a £130,000 loan and costs £20,511 over the two years. If an A&L borrower on 4.28% were to switch to the Britannia deal they would save £180 a month and £2,500 over two years rather than stay on the A&L SVR.

Tom Smith
25th September 2007

Tags: rates, standard, Mortgages, fixed, variable, discounted, offer, introductory

Mortgage Fees Go Through The Roof

Homebuyers are being neatly trapped into taking out what are on the face of it good value deals only to be knocked with sky-high fees. These have soared so much that some lenders have hiked arrangement fees by over 600% in the last two years.

By seeming to have low interest rates mortgage lenders can push themselves further up best-buy tables, but in fact they are making money by charging ever-higher arrangement fees.

Intelligent Finance, a subsidiary of biggest mortgage lender Halifax, now charges an arrangement fee of £2,999 in some cases – up by an incredible 601% on its maximum charge two years ago. The actual cost of arranging a mortgage can’t have gone up by £2,500 in the last two years! In fact, costs are likely to have gone down thanks to computerisation. The huge increase finds its way straight into the provider’s coffers.

Finance experts say that the practice tricks borrowers, in a period when interest rates have hit their highest level since March 2001. Lenders use the headline interest rate to attract customers, and then use arrangement fees to make their money.

Scottish Widows, part of Lloyds TSB, now has a maximum fee of £1,999, up from £295 two years ago and Abbey, Nationwide, Northern Rock and Woolwich, part of Barclays, have all increased their fees dramatically too.

Some lenders charge an arrangement fee as a percentage of the loan, so someone borrowing £300,000 would have to pay an arrangement fee three times higher than someone taking out a £100,000 loan. This is scarcely justifiable as the work involved is just the same.

Homebuyers are advised not be lured by the appealing low headline rates, but to verify all fees and include them in calculations to get the true cost of a loan. For first-time buyers houses are more unaffordable than the last housing market crash 16 years ago, and. Stamp duty is capturing more people than ever before, and it is obvious why so many people are having financial problems with the increasing cost of moving, or simply owning a home.

In May 60% of first-time buyers had to pay stamp duty, as the average price of a home reached £155,000, and the zero stamp duty threshold is well below that at £125,000. An average first-time buyer now has to spend four years eleven months saving for stamp duty, legal fees and a 5% deposit to come up with the £9,844 needed. In 2005 the time needed was eleven months less.

An interesting statistic in the current environment is that the number of mortgage approvals has risen again, according to the Bank of England’s data, with 114,000 loans approved in May compared with 109,000 in April. That will only make a further rise in interest rates highly likely.

On the other hand, house price growth did cool in May. The average home in the UK cost £211,056 in the year to the end of May, up 10.9%. This is down from a rate of increase of 11.3% for the same period to April.

Tom Smith
25th Septmeber 2007

Tags: charges, rates, stamp, costs, Mortgages, fees, Loans, introductory

Consumers still failing to get best rates on their savings

According to a recent study many consumers in the UK are still failing to make the most of their savings by finding an account that pays a competitive interest rate.

The news comes despite the five interest rate rises that have been applied to the base rate by the Bank of England over the past year, taking the base rate from 4.5% to 5.75%. Experts state that consumer apathy is resulting in many savers losing out on significant amounts of interest each year.

Many banks have come under fire over the past year for failing to apply interest rate rises in full, or at all in some cases, to their savings accounts. Even those that do pass the rate rises on have been under fire for taking their time to do this, whilst moving much more quickly when it comes to applying the rate rise to borrowing.

Although many savings accounts have let their interest rates stagnate, and some pay very low rates of interest, there are also some account that have passed on all interest rate rises in full, and are now paying above and beyond the base rate.

Amongst the savings account that are now paying well over 6% in interest to savers are ICICI, Sainsbury’s online savings account, and IceSave. However, despite the availability of higher rate savings account research shows that many consumers are allowing their savings to snooze in low rate account where they are earning very little in interest.

Many consumers don’t bother to research higher interest rate alternatives, and some simply feel that they don’t have the time to switch. However, for many – particularly those with substantial savings – switching to a higher rate account could mean a significant difference in the amount of interest earned.

One industry professional stated: “I guess it’s just clients are looking for reliability and consistency; they don’t always want to be chopping and changing their bank accounts. So I think people are aware of it, it’s just a matter of priority. You don’t want to be changing your bank account every couple of months.”

Tom Smith
28th August 2007

Tags: consumers, savings, personal, earn, rates

Future demand for buy to let mortgages could fall

According to a recent report the demand for buy to let mortgages could fall in the future, as a slow down in the rise of property values hits, lumbering landlords with higher mortgage repayments but lower house value inflation and rental income.

However, reports have also indicated that at present landlords are doing very well, and in the past year enjoyed returns of around 13%. Reports indicate that landlords saw the property vales rise on average by around 7.3% and saw rental returns of around 5.5% of the property value.

The figures come from a report issued by Birmingham Midshires. The report indicated that although the 13% property value rise seen was up from the previous twelve months of 11.9% rental payments dropped from 5.7% in the previous twelve months to 5.5% last year. Birmingham Midshires warned that the interest rate rises had led to mortgage repayments being higher than rental payments, and that this could have a dampening effect on the popularity and take up of buy to let mortgages.

One economist from the building society stated: ‘While house price growth in the sector is expected to be more subdued near-term, reflecting the impact of higher interest rates, the potential for further increases in rents should encourage long-term investors. There also remains the potential for healthy long-term capital appreciation in the buy-to-let sector, particularly given the backdrop of more households being formed each year than there are new properties being built.’

Along with homeowners buy to let landlords are likely to be hit hard by the interest rate rises that have been applied by the Bank of England over the past year, as it means higher repayments on the mortgage without higher rental income.

Tom Smith
1st August 2007

Tags: payments, interest, rise, cost, buy, increase, let, property

Further disappointment for ING Direct customers

ING Direct customers are facing increased disappointment when it comes to their savings, with ING once again failing to pass on the interest rate rise that was applied by the Bank of England.

The online savings account from ING Direct now pays 5% to savers, which is well below the best rate savings account and stands at 0.75% less than the base interest rate. The account initially attracted over a million customers when it advertised its impressive interest rates in 2003, but since then ING has come under fire for leaving interest rates to stagnate despite a series of rate rises.

The Websaver account from ING will also see interest rates remain static, at 5.5%. The rate on this savings account was actually higher than this initially, opening at 5.65%, but was cur to 5.5% before the interest rate rise in May of this year. Since this time the interest rate has not gone up, despite Bank of England rises of 0.25% in both May and July. ING Direct was hugely popular amongst savers previously, but has lately received a great deal of negative press over its refusal to pass on interest rate rises.

According to recent figures customers of ING Direct have taken over £3 billion worth of savings from their accounts and placed the money with other banks as a result of poor interest rates based on the current base rate. Although interest rates in the UK have gone from 4.5% to 5.75% in the past year through a series of five interest rate rises, the interest rate on the ING Direct savings account has risen by only 0.5% in this time.

According to ING Direct other banks get around this by offering lower rates on other accounts. One official stated: ‘If these savings providers had to pay all of their customers our 5% it would cost them a fortune and they wouldn’t be able to afford to keep offering their headline grabbing accounts.’

Tom Smith
26th July 2007

Tags: bank, england, customers, rates, leave, base, Banking

Chancellor Darling Would Like Longer Fixed Rates

New Chancellor of the Exchequer, Alistair Darling, has indicated that he would like to see longer terms for fixed rate mortgages in the UK.

Darling would like to see more fixed rates lasting up to 25 years and on Monday 9 July he pledged a shake-up of the housing market following concerns that have been expressed regarding lenders only offering short term fixed rates in order to maximise their profits.

If homeowners have to renew their fixed rate deals more often, they will be liable for thousands of pounds worth of charges in arrangement fees, which have rocketed in the last couple of years. As interest rates have risen five times in the last twelve months, consumers are looking to fix their interest rates so they know what their payments will be for a reasonable period of time, but the number of deals beyond two years are few and far between.

The Chancellor said that longer-term fixed rates were available around Europe and would be useful in the UK to reduce volatility. He was unhappy with the incentives built in to products that meant mortgage brokers were more likely to advise homeowners to choose short-term products – and the associated high arrangement fees – some now nearly £2,000.

Mr Darling said that the Financial Services Authority have noted the problem of brokers wanting homeowners to return to them every two or three years rather than every ten or twenty.

The Chancellor also talked about the possibility of building on greenbelt land in the future as the lack of affordable housing in the South East in the last five years was now becoming a problem for the whole country. Last year’s Government target of 223,000 new houses was not met with only 160,000 being built. Mr Darling agreed that planning is a sensitive issue, but whilst determined to protect Britain’s heritage he said that if we don’t increase the supply of houses the problem will get worse and worse and worse. There was no way he would accept that housebuilding should stop.
   
Ex-Chancellor Gordon Brown, now Prime Minister, oversaw house prices that trebled between 1997 and 2007, and promised to end the boom and bust cycle in house prices, but as it is evident that we are coming to the end of a boom cycle in house prices, both Brown and Darling will be hoping that we don’t enter a bust period of falling or crashing house prices. However, with interest rates having risen from 4.5% last August to 5.75% last week the increased payments to be found by most homeowners will bring about a slowdown in the market.

Malcolm Harris, CEO of Bovis Homes, yesterday warned that any further rate rises could bring the housing market to a grinding halt. Average mortgage payments are now at a record level when compared with how much people earn.

Mr Darling acknowledged that housing is a huge issue and concerns more than the buyers, with parents and grandparents keen for their children to be able to afford housing, but a monthly repayment on a £125,000 mortgage s now £130 higher than it was last year.

Tom Smith
16th July 2007

Tags: debt, rates, boom, home, Mortgages, term, house, prices

Actions To Ease The Mortgage Pain

There have already been several interest rate rises since August 2006, taking the Bank of England’s base rate from 4.5% to 5.75%. Read more

Tags: interest, payments, offset, rates, Mortgages, bank

Interest Rates Up To 5.75%

The Bank of England has increased interest rates by another quarter point in July, to 5.75%, the highest level since March 2001.

Only twelve months ago interest rates were down at 4.5%. The last year has seen hundreds of pounds added to mortgage repayments of householders. On an average £200,000 loan, there will be another rise in payments of £33 to add to the £127 since August 2006.

There are also more than a million homeowners with fixed rate deals from two years ago which are around the 4-4.5% level, who will soon have to look for a new mortgage deal and they are going to be faced with rates of over 7.5% on the lender’s standard variable rate (SVR). That could mean crippling increase of £215 per month. Even with a new deal, they are looking at two-year fixed rates of 5.5% and a rise of nearly £100 per month, plus the fees on top.

Many experts think interest rates will go up again. A rate of 6% has been forecast, and Mervyn King was unhappy at the rate being held at 5.5% in June. He warned a higher peak might be needed in the future. That sounded like a threat of 6% to come.

The Bank has been striving to keep inflation and house prices under control, but the signs that they have started to do this since the last rate rise in May, they didn’t come soon enough to head off July’s rise.

Consumer Price Index (CPI), the government’s measure of inflation, reached 3.1% in March and has come down to 2.5% in the most recent figures. Nevertheless, this is still above the government target of 2%, and the MPC may still feel that more action will be needed. Lower gas and electricity prices should help CPI fall again soon. The MPC said: “Although pay pressures remain muted, the margin of spare capacity in businesses appears limited and most indicators of pricing pressure remain elevated. The committee judged that, relative to the 2% target, the balance of risks to the outlook for inflation in the medium term continued to lie to the upside. Against that background, it further judged that an increase in Bank Rate of 0.25 percentage points to 5.75% was necessary to meet the 2% target for CPI inflation in the medium term.”

Higher rates have begun to slow down the housing market. The Halifax, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, has reported that house price inflation has cooled in the last quarter, lower than the first quarter of the year and the last quarter of 2006.

New Prime Minister Gordon Brown and his new Chancellor Alistair Darling will be frustrated by the rate rise, fresh as they are in their new roles. Mr Brown was always very please with the way his prudent monetary policies worked, but he may have to revise his comments if rates hit 6%, the level they were at when Labour came to power in 1997.

The UK has a big debt problem and these are becoming a bigger burden as interest rates continue to rise. PricewaterhouseCoopers suggest that 19% of an average household’s income goes towards paying debts which is a record level and beats that of 1990 when interest rates stood at 15%.

Tom Smith
15th July 2007

Tags: house, rates, increase, bank, england, interest, home

Abbey customers find mortgages been extended

There was a shock in store for many customers with the Abbey bank last week, as an oversight resulted in many customers’ mortgages being extended by years without them even being informed about it.

The blunder meant that thousands of homeowners have seen their mortgage repayment term extended, in some cases by up to fifteen years. This resulted from the bank failing to make changes to customers’ repayments, and meant that the term of the loan was increased by a considerable amount of time.

Rising interest rates in the 1980s and 1990s resulted in the customers’ paying more in interest on their mortgage, which meant that out of each repayment a higher amount was being applied to the interest. However, because the bank failed to increase customers’ repayments less of the capital was being repaid. As a result of years of underpayments, many have now found that they will be lumbered with a mortgage for up to fifteen more years.

Abbey should have contacted mortgage customers to explain that the rise in interest rates meant that their repayments would have to increase to enable them to pay off the loan within the arranged mortgage term.

However, the bank did not do this, and as a result customers continued with the same repayments, oblivious to the fact that they were not paying enough to cover the capital and interest repayments without extending their mortgage term.

Following a flood of complaints from those affected, an official from the Financial Ombudsman Service stated: ‘This is an issue specific to Abbey because it was not explained to the customers and they were surprised to discover they would have to pay over longer terms. Those affected could still be entitled to compensation.’

Tom Smith
15th July 2007

Tags: interest, mortgage, customers, rates, abbey

BOE governor warns on borrowing and lending

The Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, has stressed the importance of consumers being careful not to borrow money that they cannot afford, and lenders being more careful about who they lend money to.

Mr King stated that consumer debt levels in the UK could lead to a major debt crisis. And with another interest rate rise due in July – which will be the fifth interest rate rise since last August – many more people in the UK could find themselves struggling with unmanageable debt.

Speaking at the Mansion House Banquet in London, Mr King addressed families and individuals, stating: ‘be cautious about how much you borrow’.

He also addressed lenders stating: ‘be cautious about how much you lend’.

At last month’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting Mr King actually voted for a quarter percent rise in interest rates, but the majority vote was to keep interest rates stable in June. However, this month’s meeting is likely to see a different result, and a further quarter percent rise is widely predicted.

At the dinner – also attended by new Prime Minister Gordon Brown – Mr King stated: ‘Be cautious about how much you borrow is not a bad maxim for each and every one of us here tonight.’

He also addressed lenders, adding: ‘Excessive leverage is the common theme of many financial crises of the past. Are we really so much cleverer than the financiers of the past?’

One LibDem spokesman said: ‘A combination of an economic slowdown and higher interest rates could spell disaster for large numbers of heavily-indebted families. If interest rates rise further, many home owners will simply not be able to pay.’

And the Shadow Chancellor added: ‘Millions of people are struggling as the cost of living is rising faster than their incomes.’

Tom Smith
9th July 2007

Tags: bank, afford, pay, rates, rise, england, loan, increase

Housing Market Cools

It seems that the UK property market may be cooling at last, as estate agents are reporting that there has been an increase in properties coming up for sale. In the last few months that number of sellers has increased, but interest from buyers has taken a downward turn.

One online agency reported that the number of properties for sale has risen by over 13% in April, far above expectations. Another internet agency said that it had seen an increase in properties on the market by nearly 20% compared with the same time a year before. The trend appears to be the same across the market.

Although the time of year does see an increase in properties on the market, this time the numbers seem higher than usual. The shortage of housing stock that has had an influence on the way the market has risen seems to be reducing. The sellers’ market looks as though it is coming to an end, and the market may be close to its peak.

It seems that properties in the £150,000-£350,000 price bracket are having the toughest time, where affordability is tight and the slowdown is likely to bite hardest. First-time buyers are finding it extremely difficult to get into the market as property has been pushed further beyond their reach.

Another influence on the number of properties coming to market has been the wish to avoid the need for Home Information Packs (HIPs) in the lead up to their planned introduction of 1 June, and again in the lead up to the new date of 1 August.

Bank of England mortgage figure approval figures reached a twelve-month low in April at 107,000.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors believed that the HIPS, the continued increase in house prices and the increase in interest rates have combined to lead bring about a cooling of the market.

Estate agents believe that HIPs are single biggest reason for the increase in properties coming to market. These look to be extremely unpopular with sellers who will have to go to more trouble than before and, of course, pay for the packs.

Buyers, however, will see benefits with all the information they need in a single accessible pack. The uncertainty surrounding the introduction of HIPs has led to confusion, especially with the change in emphasis by the government, who said that the Packs would only be applicable to homes with four or bedrooms when the new date was announced.

Since then there has been even more confusion with a recent comment that there will be enough trained energy assessors by 1 August to encompass three bedroom houses. The government maintain that they announced that houses of smaller size will be included in the scheme as soon as enough assessors are available. If that happens by 1 August then three-bedrooms homes are likely to be included.

The general economy remains strong and interest in property is liable to remain so too. When confusion over HIPs dies down in the coming months, we are likely to see a return to normal trends.

Tom Smith
8th July 2007

Tags: prices, down, decrease, hips, Mortgages, rise, house, england

Variable rate borrowers could be heading for a fall

Industry professionals are warning consumers that they could be heading for a fall if they have high levels of variable rate debts, from mortgages and secured loans to credit cards.

With four interest rate rises over the past year the Bank of England base rate has gone from 4.5 percent to 5.5 percent between last August and this May, and further interest rate rises have been predicted by experts before the year is out.

Many borrowers with variable rate loans and cards have seen their interest rates rise, and for many this has resulted in real financial difficulties when it comes to making repayments. Many consumers seem to have been banking on interest rates remaining stable in order to comfortably afford repayments on their borrowing, and the four interest rate rises since last August have really taken their toll.

The Governor of the Bank of England stated: ‘Anyone who borrows at a variable rate should recognise that the interest rate they will pay in the future may vary. It is unwise to borrow so much that the repayments are affordable only if interest rates remain at their initial levels.’

To many, this is something of a warning that further interest rates are indeed on the way, and those planning to take on more debt should be very careful as they may not be able to afford repayments should the interest rates continue to rise.

One economist stated: ‘Rates are going to go higher. A base rate of 6% is not necessarily the top. Borrowers should brace themselves for another increase. I would be surprised if base rate hit 7%, but not if it reached 6.5%.’

An official from the London School of Economics stated: ‘Base rate will peak towards the end of the year at or close to 6%. As long as inflation is under control, it could come down in a couple of years.’

Tom Smith
7th July 2007

Tags: increase, england, bank, rates, fixed, higher

Bank Considers Latest Rate Decision

Since the last announcement on 10 May when rates increase by a quarter of a percent to 5.5% there has been a lot of speculation about the way interest rates may go in June.

The latest forecast is for rates to remain unchanged, but another quarter percent rise is still possible. At 5.5% in May rates went up to their highest level since February 2001. Read more

Tags: home, rise, england, rates, deals, interest

Homeowners warned about fixed-rate deadline

Mortgage holders are being encouraged to plan ahead if they are due to reach the end of their fixed-rate deals in the coming months.

The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) says that around 1.3 million people took out a fixed-rate deal in 2005, while a further 1.5 million did the same in 2006.

Most would have had just a one or two-year period of paying a fixed rate and the CML is warning that borrowers must be prepared to start paying increased levels of interest.

According to the CML, the average borrower will face a rate increase of between 0.75 per cent and 1.5 per cent.

This could potentially have a devastating effect on many homeowners and, although the Bank of England has chosen to freeze interest rates at 5.5 per cent in June, rates are likely to increase further in the coming months.

“While today’s [June 7th's] decision not to raise rates is welcome, there is no cause for complacency. More than two million borrowers over the next year and a half will reach the end of fixed-rate deals, and will face the prospect of higher mortgage payments,” commented Michael Coogan, director general at the CML.

“For most people, the scale of the increase will be manageable. But it makes sense for borrowers whose fixed-rates will end soon to start planning ahead now and to recognise that their monthly costs will be higher in the future.

“Anyone who thinks they may face financial difficulties should talk to their lender at an early stage to see what steps can be taken to improve their situation,” he added.

Tags: financial difficulties, rate deals, end, rates, recognise, increase, half

What the recent interest rate rise means for your mortgage repayments

On 11th May the Bank of England increased its rates by another 0.25% to 5.5%, meaning that six million homeowners in Britain will face bigger monthly payments for their mortgages. Read more

Tags: house, surveyors, cost, rates, inflation, bank, increase, prices, consecutive

Consumer group wants investigation into calculation of credit card interest

The UK consumer group, Which?, has demanded an investigation into how credit card companies calculate the interest to be paid on cards, claiming that many companies are using a wide range of methods to calculate interest, which is not only netting them more money but is also causing mass confusion for credit card users.

According to the watchdog, these credit card companies are using around a dozen different methods in order to calculate interest on credit card repayments, and the confusion that this is causing is resulting in the companies making even more money from their customers.

Which? officials have gone on to say that the way that these credit card companies are calculating the interest to be charged means that comparing APRs on credit cards to find the best deal is ineffective. Which? states that credit card companies that make up for ninety percent of the credit card market are using around a dozen different ways to work out the interest. This includes the top twenty providers of credit cards. According to Which? there are now a number of factors that are used by these companies in order to determine how the interest will be calculated on a particular account.

One official from Which? stated: “People believe that APRs are a dependable way of comparing credit cards, but our research shows that APR cannot to be relied upon for true credit card comparisons.”

However, APACS officials state that using just one way to work out interest would also affect consumers, as the process used may not suit every consumer.

One APACS official stated: “There are a huge variety of cards on the market and some people prefer to have a lower APR but pay earlier, others might like a slightly higher APR but only want to pay interest on the amount left outstanding.”

Tom Smith
28th April 2007

Tags: cards, credit, calculate, rates, charges, interest, compound

Bank was split over rate rise

The recent freezing of interest rates caused a split within the Bank of England, with two Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members voting in favour of a rise.

Minutes of the meeting in February have revealed that the vote was split 7-2 in favour of freezing rates but the divide means that the future for borrowers remains uncertain.

Those with a mortgage, credit card or loan could still see interest rates rise, with many people likely to suffer as a result if they do not have the financial clout to withstand another increase.

MPC members decided to wait and see what effect the previous three rate rises would have before moving ahead with another.

“It would take some time for the full effects of the past tightening to be seen. It was difficult to judge whether, and if so by how much, policy might need to be further tightened to keep inflation on track to meet the target,” the minutes read.

The previous rises came in quick succession, with rates jumping from 4.5 per cent in August to 5.25 per cent in January.

It appears that interest rates are likely to rise again in the coming months as the MPC attempts to bring down inflation which is currently running well above the government’s target of two per cent.

Tags: RPIX, interest, clout, target, Consumer Price Index, succession

Choose credit cards over store cards this Christmas

If you are planning to spread the cost of Christmas and the New Year there are a number of options available to you. For many people, particularly those lured into shops when the January sales come around, the temptation to take out a store card is irresistible, with retail employees throwing what sounds like offers in to encourage the consumers to apply for the store card. However, consumers should think carefully about whether a store card is worth it before making a commitment and spending money on such cards.

A store card can only be used in one shop or a certain chain of stores, and is therefore of no use to you if you want to pay for other items in other shops and stores. Store cards also typically have very high interest rates, so even though you might be offered a small discount on your purchases for using the store card you will more than make up for this in terms of the interest that you will pay for the privilege of using the card. With stores cards you don’t get special offers such as interest free periods, so you will be stuck with paying interest on any balance that you have on the card.

A more sensible solution for those planning to splurge out in the January sales is to get hold of a good credit card in plenty of time – one that offers an interest free period on purchases giving you time to repay the balance without having to pay interest. Even if you end up with a credit card that does not offer an interest free period, or where the interest free period expires before the balance has been repaid, you will still pay a lower interest rate than most store cards charge, and you have the added advantage of being able to use the card in other stores.

There are some advantages to taking out a store card, such as discounts on certain lines and products, but in order to really benefit from this type of deal you need to be the type of consumer that pays off the full balance on the store card each month, thus avoiding the extortionate interest charges that will otherwise be incurred. 

Tags: store, credit, sales, rates, charge