Officials say mortgage interest rates must stay low

Earlier this month the Bank of England announced once again that the base interest rate was to stay at its all time low level of just 0.5 percent, where it has stood since the first quarter of 2008. This is the lowest level in the history of the central bank, which spans over three centuries. For many borrowers and homeowners this low rate has come as a relief, as it has kept down their repayments.

Economist from the Ernst & Young ITEM Club have now said that it is important that interest rates remain at this low level over the course of this year, despite the fact that inflation is spiralling out of control. Officials said that there is a very tough year ahead, but although many believe that interest rate will and should increase economist from Ernst & Young said that they needed to stay on hold.

The report that was released by the economists indicated that this year was going to be a gloomy, tough, and very challenging one, with inflation possibly rising to 4 percent as early as February. House prices are set to fall by 5 percent over the course of this year, according to the report, and only slight improvement is expected in 2012.

One economist from the Ernst & Young ITEM Club said: ‘It’s going to be a tense start to 2011. The fiscal retrenchment will keep GDP subdued while commodity price rises and the VAT hike will push inflation close to 4% and leave the MPC agonising over whether to increase the Bank base rate. However, it’s vital that the MPC stands firm. A premature rate rise would boost the pound, weakening the UK’s ability to increase its exports – particularly into the emerging markets – which we have long maintained hold the key to the UK’s economic recovery.’

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Mortgage approvals still slow

According to figures mortgage approvals in the UK for the start of this year have been sluggish despite optimism over improvements in the market. The Bank of England released data showing that the level of mortgage approvals in March did increase slightly from the previous month rising from 46,882 to 48,901.

The figure for mortgage approvals in March was also said to be 17 percent higher than the figure in March of last year, so there have been some signs of improvement. However, the bigger picture indicates that mortgage approvals remain sluggish for the first part of the year.

Apart from 2009 the number of mortgage approvals for the first quarter of this year was at its lowest on record according to the figures. One economist said that the Bank of England figures showed that the mortgage market and housing sector were finding it difficult to gain momentum following the turbulence of the last couple of years.

He added that over the coming months property prices in the UK were likely to be erratic, and for the remainder of the year it was most likely that property prices would be flat. The Building Societies Association added that the mortgage market remained fragile and was likely to remain so in the short term.

The group said that some of the factors that could contribute to this fragility included the uncertainty over leadership of the country, jobs, interest rates, and inflation on property prices.

One financial expert concluded: “It is good news for borrows that lenders are slowly acclimatising to a new landscape of the mortgage market and continue to improve on the competitiveness of new mortgage deals. But lending figures show that there is only a slight improvement in the market; we still have a way to go before the market returns to any sort of normality.”

Tags: finance, Banking, societies, mortgage, month, new landscape, bank of england, slight improvement